Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.000693 0.000788 0.000889 0.001004 0.001130 0.001265 0.001418
2025-08-03 0.000525 0.000654 0.000801 0.000978 0.001186 0.001419 0.001700
2025-08-10 0.000451 0.000598 0.000772 0.000991 0.001257 0.001567 0.001952
2025-08-17 0.000390 0.000547 0.000740 0.000992 0.001309 0.001688 0.002173
2025-08-24 0.000329 0.000486 0.000688 0.000961 0.001313 0.001747 0.002315
2025-08-31 0.000280 0.000436 0.000643 0.000932 0.001316 0.001800 0.002447
2025-09-07 0.000249 0.000405 0.000621 0.000929 0.001349 0.001890 0.002625
2025-09-14 0.000223 0.000380 0.000603 0.000930 0.001385 0.001982 0.002807
2025-09-21 0.000198 0.000353 0.000579 0.000920 0.001405 0.002052 0.002961
2025-09-28 0.000175 0.000325 0.000553 0.000904 0.001414 0.002107 0.003093
2025-10-05 0.000165 0.000318 0.000555 0.000930 0.001482 0.002241 0.003336
2025-10-12 0.000154 0.000309 0.000554 0.000948 0.001538 0.002362 0.003562
2025-10-19 0.000138 0.000289 0.000536 0.000940 0.001559 0.002433 0.003723
2025-10-26 0.000122 0.000268 0.000512 0.000924 0.001564 0.002482 0.003854
2025-11-02 0.000113 0.000258 0.000507 0.000934 0.001608 0.002588 0.004067
2025-11-09 0.000104 0.000245 0.000497 0.000936 0.001640 0.002676 0.004255
2025-11-16 0.000090 0.000224 0.000468 0.000906 0.001620 0.002687 0.004333
2025-11-23 0.000078 0.000204 0.000442 0.000878 0.001604 0.002701 0.004414
2025-11-30 0.000071 0.000194 0.000431 0.000876 0.001625 0.002773 0.004580
2025-12-07 0.000065 0.000185 0.000423 0.000876 0.001652 0.002852 0.004760
2025-12-14 0.000058 0.000174 0.000409 0.000867 0.001662 0.002906 0.004901
2025-12-21 0.000052 0.000162 0.000393 0.000852 0.001661 0.002942 0.005015
2025-12-28 0.000050 0.000161 0.000398 0.000876 0.001727 0.003084 0.005293